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Weekend Results6/17-6/19

June 19 | Episode 43

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Happy 55th Birthday to Oscar winner Nicole Kidman

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Nonstop News:

THIS WEEKEND WILL BRING ANOTHER LULL BEFORE NEXT BOXOFFICE STORM HITS 7/1 WITH "MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU." HOLLYWOOD HANDICAPPERS THINK "TOP GUN: MAVERICK" CAN GAIN ALTITUDE (WITH "DOMINION" WEAKENING IN WEEKEND THREE AFTER LAST WEEKEND'S 59% SLIDE) & FINISH #1. 30% "MAVERICK" DROP FROM LAST WEEKEND'S $44.7M WOULD BE $31M, WHICH WOULD LIKELY MEAN #1 ORBIT. LAST WEEKEND'S "LIGHTYEAR" LIFTOFF FIZZLED AS "JURASSIC WORLD: DOMINION" BECAME DINO-MIGHTY COMPETITION FOR FAMILY AUDIENCES. THIS FRAME BRINGS TWO WIDE STUDIO OPENINGS TARGETED TO VERY DIFFERENT DEMOS & WITH LOWER EXPECTATIONS FROM EXHIBITORS & HOLLYWOOD HANDICAPPERS -- WB/ROADSHOW ENTERTAINMENT'S PG-13 MUSICAL BIO-DRAMA "ELVIS," FROM DIRECTOR BAZ LUHRMANN ("MOULIN ROUGE!") & UNIVERSAL/BLUMHOUSE'S R RATED HORROR THRILLER "THE BLACK PHONE," FROM SCOTT DERRICKSON ("DOCTOR STRANGE"). ...
"ELVIS," WHICH PREMIERED AT CANNES TO ROUSING 10 MINUTE STANDING OVATION, ISN'T GENERATING SAME SIZZLE ON TRACKING. LOOKING BEST AS FIRST CHOICE FOR WOMEN. +25F ARE STRONGEST DEMO WITH FIVE POINTS OVER NORM. -25F ARE NEXT BEST WITH THREE POINTS OVER NORM. MEN DON'T REALLY CARE: +25M ARE EQUAL TO NORM WHILE -25M ARE WAY LOW WITH FIVE POINTS BELOW NORM. CRITICS ARE 79% FRESH ON ROTTEN TOMATOES -- BUT THEY WERE 83% EARLIER IN WEEK. EXHIBITORS ARE PROJECTING MODEST $24-28M, BUT SOME BOXOFFICE ANALYSTS ARE HITTING MUCH HIGHER KEY WITH $35-50M. SOMEONE WILL BE SINGING WRONG TUNE SUNDAY MORNING. ...
"THE BLACK PHONE" WON'T BE RINGING OFF HOOK, BUT HORROR FANS WILL BE ANSWERING. EXHIBS SEE IT OPENING TO LIVELY $17-20M FOR GENRE PICTURE. HOLLYWOOD HANDICAPPERS ARE IN SAME BALLPARK WITH $15-20M. RT CRITICS LOOK GOOD AT 86% FRESH. AUDIENCE SCORE IS 89%, SUGGESTING FAVORABLE WORD OF MOUTH. FIRST CHOICE TRACKING IS OKAY FOR ALL DEMOS EXCEPT +25M, WHO ARE EQUAL TO NORM. BEST DEMOS: -25M (FIVE POINTS OVER NORM -- UP FROM THREE POINTS OVER EARLIER THIS WEEK) & +25F (TWO POINTS OVER NORM). -25F ARE FOUR POINTS OVER NORM -- UP FROM TWO POINTS OVER EARLIER THIS WEEK. ...
JUNETEENTH HOLIDAY LAST MONDAY DIDN'T MAKE MUCH DIFFERENCE TO DISNEY/PIXAR'S "LIGHTYEAR," WHICH OPENED SECOND TO $50.6M -- ABOUT $0.4M LESS THAN SUNDAY'S THREE DAY ESTIMATE. MARKETPLACE WILL BE VERY FRAGMENTED IN WEEKEND TWO WITH DINOS STILL IN GAME, TWO NEWCOMERS COMPETING FOR NON-FAMILY TICKET SALES & "TOP GUN: MAVERICK" PACKING SOLID BOXOFFICE PUNCH. "LIGHTYEAR'S" ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORES ARE DOWN SLIGHTLY WITH CRITICS 76% & AUDIENCES 85%. BEST CASE IN WEEKEND TWO WOULD BE 50% DROP TO $25M. 60% DROP WOULD MEAN $20M WHILE 65% SLIDE WOULD GENERATE $18M....
LOOKING AHEAD TO JULY FOURTH WEEKEND, UNIVERSAL/ILLUMINATION ENTERTAINMENT'S "MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU" IS SHOWING STRONG PLAYABILITY TO YOUNGER MOVIEGOERS THAT SHOULD IGNITE BOXOFFICE FIREWORKS. TOP FIRST CHOICE DEMOS: -25F (SIX POINTS OVER NORM) & -25M (FIVE POINTS OVER NORM). OLDER DEMOS ARE LESS EXCITED -- WITH +25M & +25F BOTH EQUAL TO NORM. "GRU" LOOKS LIKE GREAT FAMILY FILM FUN FOR SUMMER MOVIEGOING. FRANCHISE ORIGINAL "MINIONS" OPENED 7/10/15 TO $115.7M & WOUND UP DOING $336M/DOM + $823.4M/INT = $1.2B/WW. ...
PARAMOUNT/NICKELODEON'S PG ANIMATED ACTION COMEY "PAWS OF FURY: THE LEGEND OF HANK," OPENING 7/15, JUST HIT TRACKING, BUT ISN'T RUNNING AS FAST AS "GRU" & COULD PAUSE SUMMER MOMENTUM IF IT DOESN'T KICK UP SOON. NOT GOOD START FOR ALL FOUR DEMOS TO BE BELOW NORM FOR DEFINITE INTEREST. BEST DEMO THREE WEEKS OUT: -25M, BUT THEY'RE SIX POINTS BELOW NORM. NEXT BEST: +25F WITH FIVE POINTS BELOW NORM. +25M DON'T CARE (ELEVEN POINTS BELOW NORM). -25F ARE LEAST INTERESTED (17 POINTS BELOW NORM). ...

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    Now in Theatres

    Elvis

    PG-132h 39m | Biography, Drama, Music

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